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Anticipated 5% Rise in Australian House Prices: What Buyers Need to Know

Exploring the Factors Behind the Projected Housing Market Growth

Anticipated 5% Rise in Australian House Prices: What Buyers Need to Know?w=400

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Australia's housing market is poised for continued growth in 2026, with economists forecasting a 5% increase in house prices over the next 12 months.
This projection follows an 8.6% rise in 2025, marking the strongest annual growth since 2021.
The anticipated growth is primarily driven by demand outstripping supply, a trend observed across all states and territories.

Several factors contribute to this outlook:

  • Supply Constraints: The housing market continues to face limited supply, with listings approximately 25% below average. This shortage is helping to underpin prices and limiting the risk of a sharp downturn, even as demand is expected to soften through 2026.
  • Population Growth: Net overseas migration added 548,000 people in a 12-month period to Q3 2023, the fastest pace in nearly 50 years. This surge in population growth has intensified demand for housing, further contributing to price increases.
  • Interest Rate Movements: The Reserve Bank of Australia's recent rate hike to 3.85% may temper some demand; however, the overall impact on housing prices is expected to be moderate, given the persistent supply-demand imbalance.

For first-time homebuyers, this projected price increase underscores the importance of strategic financial planning. Prospective buyers should consider:

  • Accelerating Savings Plans: With prices expected to rise, expediting savings for a deposit can enhance purchasing power.
  • Exploring Government Assistance: Investigate available grants and schemes designed to support first-home buyers, such as the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme.
  • Consulting with Mortgage Brokers: Professional advice can help navigate the complexities of the market and identify suitable loan options.

Staying informed about market trends and proactively managing financial health will be crucial for those aiming to enter the housing market amidst these projected changes.

Published:Thursday, 19th Feb 2026
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

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